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Tuesday, April 15, 2008

The Big One: 29 Years in the Making

Posted By on Tue, Apr 15, 2008 at 9:44 AM

If the killer pythons don't get you in 2020, the Big One will. A new report basically guarantees that California will be rocked by a major earthquake. Sometime in the next 29 years.

Scientists from the US Geological Survey, Southern Earthquake Center and California Geological Survey have improved their methods since 2003, and new data shows that San Francisco no longer has a 62 percent chance of being hit by a 6.2 quake by 2037.

We have a 67 percent chance.

The numbers paint an even darker picture for Los Angeles, which has a 37 percent chance of being hit with a 7.5 magnitude quake, verses our 15 percent chance of being hit with a comparable temblor. Phew.

Don't think all these fancy calculations will actually help predict when and where the Big One will strike, though. Tom Jordan, director of SEC wants you to know that "A big earthquake can happen tomorrow or it can happen 10 years from now."

So just to be on the safe side, you should start panicking now. --Andy Wright

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