Get SF Weekly Newsletters

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Bookie Site Lays Odds on Controversial Arizona Immigration Law

Posted By on Thu, Apr 29, 2010 at 6:30 AM

click to enlarge Can I get some action here?
  • Can I get some action here?
If the 9-11 tragedy didn't prove Americans' indomitable will and heroic ability -- to make a buck off anything, this will. The bookmaking site youwager.com has commenced laying odds and taking bets related to the controversial Arizona immigration law that inspired San Francisco's quasi-boycott.

And, according to the oddsmakers, the chances anyone steps up and does a damn thing about Arizona's new law are are exceedingly low.

For example, per the oddsmakers:

Will the Federal Government challenge the constitutionality of Arizona's
new immigration law?

Yes      +300     (25%)

No        -500      (83%)
What does this mean? It means folks who make their living playing the odds don't foresee the feds doing much. If you bet $100 that the Obama administration will challenge the constitutionality of Arizona's SB 1070 -- and it does -- you get back a total payout of $400 for an eventuality the bookies feel there's a 25 percent chance of occurring (That's $300 won plus your original $100 wager, by the way).

If you bet 100 bucks that Obama won't do squat -- and that's how it turns out -- you get back a total payout of $120; you have to bet $100 to make $20. The oddsmakers think there's an 83 percent chance this will happen. Get it? Good. Here's some more odds:

Will Major League Baseball pull the 2011 All Star Game out of Arizona in
protest of the state's new immigration law?

Yes      +200     (33%)

No        -400      (80%)

Will any Hispanic MLB player boycott the 2011 All Star game should
Arizona's tough immigration continue to stand?

Yes      +200     (33%)

No        -300      (75%)

Will House succeed in passing an immigration reform bill before November
mid-term elections?

Yes      +200     (33%)

No        -300      (75%)

By the way, if you're looking to do a teaser on Arizona's immigration law and the Pope resigning due to his molestation cover-up -- you're out of luck. The bookie site's PR people told SF Weekly that the molestation scandal was "a little too risky" to touch.

What were the odds of that answer? 


  • Pin It

Tags: , , , , , ,

About The Author

Joe Eskenazi

Joe Eskenazi

Bio:
Joe Eskenazi was born in San Francisco, raised in the Bay Area, and attended U.C. Berkeley. He never left. "Your humble narrator" was a staff writer and columnist for SF Weekly from 2007 to 2015. He resides in the Excelsior with his wife, 4.3 miles from his birthplace and 5,474 from hers.

Comments

Subscribe to this thread:

Add a comment

Popular Stories

  1. Most Popular Stories
  2. Stories You Missed

Like us on Facebook

Slideshows

  • clipping at Brava Theater Sept. 11
    Sub Pop recording artists 'clipping.' brought their brand of noise-driven experimental hip hop to the closing night of 2016's San Francisco Electronic Music Fest this past Sunday. The packed Brava Theater hosted an initially seated crowd that ended the night jumping and dancing against the front of the stage. The trio performed a set focused on their recently released Sci-Fi Horror concept album, 'Splendor & Misery', then delved into their dancier and more aggressive back catalogue, and recent single 'Wriggle'. Opening performances included local experimental electronic duo 'Tujurikkuja' and computer music artist 'Madalyn Merkey.'"