Science fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke took two shots at predicting the future — first in 2001, then again this year — and missed both times. (No cosmic monoliths, no psychedelic superbabies, no nothing? WTF, Mr. CBE?) In 2012 the Mayan conspiracy theorists will have their own turn. But 2011 is all yours, people! You've got 12 months before Central American ziggurats heed their ancient call to take orbit and trigger the apocalypse, so consider this New Year's Eve your klaxon to action. From free DJ parties in neighborhood bars to pricy mega-ragers that require three lines of credit and a refinanced mortgage just to get in the door, there's an event for every cultural taste and income demographic. Hell, there's even a celebration themed after 1984 — Orwell's own infamously predicted year. Maybe your resolution for 2011 should be to avoid predicting anything and just roll with the punches. In the meantime, start stockpiling Excedrin and espresso for Jan. 1.
Japanese New Year Bell Ringing Ceremony: Art activities and traditional ringing of a 2,100-pound sixteenth-century Japanese bronze temple bell. Fri., Dec. 31, 9 a.m., free with museum admission. Asian Art Museum, 200 Larkin (at McAllister), 581-3500, www.asianart.org.
Dresden Dolls: w/ Pomplamoose, 9 p.m., $35-$50, all ages. The Warfield, 982 Market (at Sixth St.), 345-0900.
Foreign Cinema, Fleeting Trance: 8:30 p.m. Starry Plough, 3101 Shattuck (at Prince), Berkeley, 510-841-2082.
The Freedom Rockers: 9 p.m. Eagle Tavern, 398 12th St. (at Harrison), 626-0880.
Furthur: 7:30 p.m., $65, all ages. Bill Graham Civic Auditorium, 99 Grove (at Larkin), 974-4060.
The Growlers, Gantez Warrior: 9 p.m., $15 advance. Hemlock Tavern, 1131 Polk (at Post), 923-0923.
High on Fire, Beerijuana, Mudface, Montra: 8:30 p.m., $20 advance. VooDoo Lounge, 14 S. Second St. (at E. Santa Clara), San Jose, 408-286-8636.
Honey Circuit: 9 p.m., $15 advance, www.honeycircuitband.com. Hard Rock Cafe, Pier 39 (at Embarcadero), 433-7625.
Chris Isaak: 9 p.m., $99. The Fillmore, 1805 Geary (at Fillmore), 346-6000.
The Mermen: 9 p.m., $25, www.mermen.net. Park Chalet Garden Restaurant, 1000 Great Hwy. (at Fulton), 386-8439.
Monster Squad, Media Blitz, In Desperation, Chump Change, Short Attn. Span: 7 p.m., $8, all ages. 924 Gilman, 924 Gilman (at Ninth St.), Berkeley, 510-524-8180.
Nerf Herder, The Hooks, Sassy!!!: 10 p.m., $20-$25, all ages. Bottom of the Hill, 1233 17th St. (at Missouri), 621-4455.
New Monsoon, Kate Gaffney: 8:30 p.m., $25-$35, www.newmonsoon.com. Connecticut Yankee, 100 Connecticut (at 17th St.), 552-4440.
Primus: w/ Les Claypool's Fancy Brigade, Dead Kenny Gs, 9 p.m., $42.50, all ages. Fox Theater - Oakland, 1807 Telegraph (at 19th St.), Oakland, 510-548-3010.
"Rockabilly New Year's Eve": w/ DJ Okie Oran Scott, 9 p.m., free, www.oldtimey.net/rockabillyfridays.htm. Retox, 628 20th St. (at Third St.), 626-7386.
Sonny & the Sunsets, The Fresh & Onlys: 9 p.m., $20. Amnesia, 853 Valencia (at 20th St.), 970-0012.
Surprise Me Mr. Davis, Big Light: 9:30 p.m., $50. Cafe Du Nord, 2170 Market (at Sanchez), 861-5016.
The Tall Shadows: 9 p.m. Johnny Foley's Irish House, 243 O'Farrell (at Powell), 954-0777.
"The Teenage Dance Craze New Year's Eve Party": w/ The Dukes of Hayward, plus DJs Jackie Sugarlumps, Russell Quan, & dX the Funky Gran Paw, 9 p.m. The Knockout, 3223 Mission (at Valencia), 550-6994.
"The Word's Most Interesting New Year's Eve Party": w/ Pop Rocks, 9 p.m., $99 (includes hosted bar). Red Devil Lounge, 1695 Polk (at Clay), 921-1695.
00 Sh/t vs. I Heart the '90s NYE: w/ DJ Samala, Mr. Grant, & Teo, 9 p.m., $10. Madrone Art Bar, 500 Divisadero (at Fell), 241-0202.
1984 NYE: w/ DJs Dangerous Dan, Skip, Raphael Fierro, & Mark Andrus, 9 p.m., free. Mighty, 119 Utah (at 15th St.), 762-0151.
2011 NYE Crystal Ball: 8 p.m., $30-$40. Bruno's, 2389 Mission (at 20th St.), 643-5200.
21+: w/ White Menace, Miles the DJ, 8 p.m., $20. Milk, 1840 Haight (at Stanyan), 387-6455.
Annual New Year's Eve Party with DJs Durt & Pony Boy: 9 p.m., free. Lexington Club, 3464 19th St. (at Lexington), 863-2052.
Better Off New Year's: w/ Notorious, 9 p.m., $100 advance (includes hosted bar), www.111minnanye.com. 111 Minna Gallery, 111 Minna (at Second St.), 974-1719.
Blow Up NYE: w/ DJs Jeffrey Paradise, Eli Glad, & more, 10 p.m., $18 advance, 18+, www.blowupsf.com. Mission Rock Cafe, 817 Terry Francois (at Mariposa), 626-5355.
Bootie NYE 2011: w/ Smash-Up Derby, A+D, Brass Tax DJs, Grandpamini, Baby Gaga, John!John!, DJ Dada, 9 p.m., $20-$40, www.bootiesf.com. Mezzanine, 444 Jessie (at Mint), 625-8880.
Boyz IV Men, Alexis Penney & Myles Cooper: 9 p.m. Fivepoints Arthouse, 72 Tehama (at Second St.), 989-1166.
Chat Noir: Black & White Ball: w/ Adam Cova & DJ Enrico, 8 p.m., $75+ advance (includes hosted bar). Apartment 24, 440 Broadway (at Montgomery), 989-3434.
The City Club NYE 2011: w/ The Cheesebablls, DJ Solomon, DJ F, 9 p.m., $115+ advance (includes hosted bar), www.cityclubnye.com. City Club, 155 Sansome (at Sutter), 362-2480.
Club Dragon: New Year's Eve Celebration: w/ DJs Kevin Lee & Drewbad, 9 p.m., www.facebook.com/dragon.folsom. Eight, 1151 Folsom (at Seventh St.), 431-1151.
Cockblock NYE 2011: w/ DJs Natalie Nuxx, China G, & Motive, 9 p.m., $20 advance, www.cockblocksf.com. Rickshaw Stop, 155 Fell (at Van Ness), 861-2011.
Colossus: NYE 2011: w/ DJs Joe Gauthreaux & Lee Decker, 8 p.m., $50-$70, www.guspresents.com/monthly-special-events/colossus-new-years. Space 550, 550 Barneveld (at Industrial), 550-8286.
Cosmic Voyage: NYE 2011: w/ DJ Donald Glaude, 9 p.m., $35+ advance, cosmicvoyage2011.eventbee.com. Vessel, 85 Campton (at Stockton), 433-8585.
Destination NYE 2011: 9 p.m., $30+ advance, www.destination2011.com. 888 Brannan, 888 Brannan (at Eighth St.), 861-7733.
Fifth Annual Bearracuda NYE: w/ DJs Steve Sherwood, Dabecy, & Medic, 8 p.m., $20-$25 advance, www.bearracuda.com. Deco Lounge, 510 Larkin (at Turk), 346-2025.
Fire & Ice: w/ music by DJ4Life, 7 p.m., $150 advance (includes four-course meal), nyesupperclub2011.eventbrite.com. Supperclub, 657 Harrison (at Hawthorne), 348-0900.
Hella Fruitcake NYE: w/ DJs G-Star, Nolita Selector, Booty Klap, Maya Vida, & Dreck Wolf, 9 p.m., www.facebook.com/event.php?eid=179869558690334. Ghost Town Gallery, 2519 San Pablo (at Sycamore), Oakland, N/A.
Ice NYE: w/ DJ Cams, 10 p.m., $30+ advance, infusionnye2011.eventbrite.com. Infusion Lounge, 124 Ellis (at Powell), 421-8700.